permit Versant Sud, South Side Ski out to South Side Resort Base.
-------------- 9:19 A.M. Orig. Post ---------------
21(*) Open Trails on the North Side of #Tremblant.
(Please Note: The Weather Dependant Temporary South Side
Closure due to Very High Velocity Winds, is typically supported
logistically by Bus Service from the Main South Base P1 Parking Zone
to the North Side base for Resort/Mountain Guests.)
To Those Who Celebrate,
Merry Christmas!
It’s not quite the Ski/Board Christmas Conditions Present we would prefer, but...
Regarding the Current Open Trail List and it’s relationship to the Weather...
Less than 48 Hours ago we wrote:
(sorry for the repeat, but content is directly applicable to Today)
---- Quote "Complex Weather Notes:----
We say “Complex” because for more than One reason, there can be more than
One Outcome.
Basically... what Tremblant Fans need to remember is that while the advancing
Mega-System is going to produce an enormous Eastern North American Regional
impact, the final outcome on the Precious Slopes of Tremblant can not yet
be written off as totally Negative, due to “Tipping Points” that can occur when
the Ambient Base Level Temps are at So Close To Zero and the Summit is
consequently Lower with THE TYPICAL, COOLER, ELEVATION DIFFERENTIAL.
Yes, things could be rainy, but... the currently forecasted High Temp value for
the entire Event System is +5C for 2 Hours... the rest of the time, the High temps
are mostly around +2 or +3 C. The Typical Tremblant Summit Level Cooler
temps are around 4C LOWER than Base levels. Therefore... the possibility exists
that Tremblant’s Summit Sectors... could... maybe... possibly... have a chance of...
remaining Sub-Zero, and if that was the case, the precipitation at Summit Levels
could be Snow.
The Number of Variable Influencing Factors makes it Impossible to Predict Outcomes
because if the realities delivered even a Degree or two “Warmer” ... or if they delivered
a Degree or two “Cooler” ... at these close proximities to Zero, those critical Tipping
Points could profoundly change the results.
On Top Of That...
The biggest single “Wild Card” in the whole works is... The Wind.
The Weather Network is currently forecasting Peak Gusts in excess of 100KMPH
within the Regional Geographic boundaries of the system. If we see much of that
here, Lift Operations Could Be Affected.
The “Weather” happens... there’s not a damn thing we can do about that, but
we can at least allow for the chance that it may not turn out as poorly as
the Pessimists would want us to imagine.
In our opinion(and we could be wrong), at these forecasted Temps, for this forecasted
Duration... the Alpine Snow Sport Trail System Base will not suffer to a Significant
Degree. Cosmetically, the winds will take out all the Snow in the trees, but we do
not think there will be any big loss of Trail Surface coverage.
We also think that the Mountain Operations Group at Tremblant probably think
similarly or they would not have made the Huge Investments in Terrain expansion
in recent days. They have access to Weather Forecasting Models way beyond what
us regular people have, and we suspect that the continued development of New
Terrain reflects the Confidence they have in the future.”
----------------- end of Quote --------------
As this is being written, the South Resort Base Level Temp is + 2C, so we are
forecasting a line on the Mountain, somewhere around the TGV Quad Base on
Versant Sud, The South Side, and somewhere around the Expo Quad Peak on
Versant Nord, The North Side, where above these lines, the Mountain Temps
will become Sub-Zero.
Based on the Summit Web-Cam, which is currently experiencing Mobility problems
and is in a stationary fixed position, the picture, as rough as it is, never-the-less
confirms that the Summit is well below Zero with the following Web-Cam Snap Shot.
Warning: This is not a pretty shot...
...but as you will see, it tells a complete Summit Weather Story.
- Web Cam Snap Shot Courtesy of Tremblant.ca
- 12.25.14.Summit.Web.Cam.10.47.AM.jpg (97.97 KiB) Viewed 2552 times
Above:
The Red Colour Spot is the Summit Traffic Board Time/Temp Display Block,
but the most important part is the presence of Snow and Ice frozen to the
Web-Cam Globe, and we’re speculating that the Summit Temp is around -3C.
If there was only Ice there, that would tell us the Surfaces were also mostly Icy,
and that as temps dropped there was only rain as that was happening,
but the presence of Snow tells us that in the shift from yesterdays “+” Plus Value,
2 degree C Summit temps, to this point in time at 10:47 A.M., shows there was also
blowing Snow that got wind-plastered onto the Web-Cam Globe, therefore indicating
that Summit Level Open Trail Surfaces also got the same exposure to Snow.
It may not be very much, but any perceptible amount of Snow can greatly affect
Surface Conditions in a positive way.
Tremblant Alpine Snow Sport Open Trail Conditions are going to be a mix
of a highly variable array. There will be some very sweet spring-like soft,
there will be some semi-congealed hardening firm, there will be some Icy
bits, there may even be some very sweet snowy winter surfaces.
With the Wind direction at Sou-West, so coming up the Mountain and Crossing
over the Summit from Soleil towards Beauchemin, we think the best possibility
for Lee-Side Sheltered Snow Retention is going to be between the Lowell Thomas
and P’tit Bonheur Sectors.
A Note To Future Tremblant Trip Planers:
These perfectly normal Early Season Weather Fluctuations seen very dramatic
at the time, however, in the big seasonal picture they pass into memory in the
context of the far more dominant presence of a well established Winter.
If you are sitting in Basingstoke, Hampshire, United Kingdom, Boston Mass. U.S.A.,
Halifax Nova Scotia, Canada, Aberdeen Scotland, King City Ontario, Canada,
Memphis Tennessee, U.S.A., Hong Kong, or another place on Planet Earth where
you are anxiously counting down the Weeks, Days until you get to Tremblant, we
don’t think you should worry for even a fraction of a second, because....
When you get to Tremblant there is going to be very fine Skiing/Boarding due to
the Historic, never before since 1939, early establishment of a Trail Base from
the Summit to both South and North Base levels. While the early cold weather in
November allowed Mountain Crews to get such a significant head-start, perhaps
more importantly, the whole mass of Tremblant has been well chilled and Tremblant
has the Snowmaking capacity to compensate for any of these Weather Anomalies,
like the current one, on a quick timely basis to fill in the gaps between Mother Natures
Expected Average Seasonal Natural Snow Contributions.
Bottom line on this is that the “Cold” averages we’ve had trump all other factors
when it comes to establishing and keeping Alpine Snow Sport Surfaces.
21(*) Open Trails on the Archival Copy of Official Open Trails,
Grooming, Snowmaking and Lift Status for December 25, 2014,
Courtesy of Tremblant.ca
(Please Note: Display format reconfigured to accommodate additional
line space required for multiple “Progressive Openings” on Versant Sud,
the South Side. Those Openings are completely Weather Dependant
and we will update this Archive when/if that info. becomes available.)
scroll ----->>> for complete data display.
- Archival Copy of Official Open Trails, Grooming, Snowmaking and Lift Status for December 25, 2014, Courtesy of Tremblant.ca
- Screen Shot 2014-12-25 at 9.40.34 AM.jpg (370.77 KiB) Viewed 2572 times
Links and not-so-fine print:
http://www.tremblant.ca
http://www.tremblant.ca/mountain/winter ... port-e.htm
(*)
Understanding Trail Counts - http://alturl.com/n54py http://www.tremblant.ca/mountain/trailmap-e.htm
http://www.tremblant.ca/galleries/webcams/index-e.htm
http://translate.google.com/translate_t ... =fr&tl=en#
http://www.theweathernetwork.com/weather/CAQC0360
Forum Index: http://alturl.com/r4cco
Bring Back The Memories... 
Research Future Visits... If you would like to look up dates you visited Tremblant, or you
want to research days/weeks/months to visit, you can sample what
they look like historically, month by month, year by year.
GoTo: Archive, Search Reports by Date: Index: http://tinyurl.com/yktelmu
When reviewing dates from any of the past, numbered, archived pages,
you can use the "Previous Topic" or "Next Topic" buttons, located
screen far right, in upper date/message bar to scroll through sequential
dates, or use your browsers "back" button to stay on the selected index
page for non-sequential date reviews in either forward or reverse order.
There are approximately 6, 25 day Index pages per season.
(
If you "Bookmark" the link above, it will always take you to theFirst index page with the latest posts. That gives you an immediate,
current to 25 day past, review scroll of Winter Alpine Conditions by
consecutive date.)
.