To begin with, the skiing and the snowboarding at Tremblant
will be Excellent today for terrain within any skill level ratings.
Beginners, Intermediates and Experts alike will find the best
conditions we have had so far this season.
If you live regionally, don't even think about it,
just go to Tremblant right this second.
Why? ...because today could be the...
Last day for "Best of Season" conditions?
89 Open Trails under partially sunny skies and mild winter
temps starting at -8C and moving up to either-1C or +2C ,
depending on who's forecast you look at.
Either way...
This could be the last day of the most uninterrupted, beautiful
conditions we have had in many a season opening. Looking at
the photo below, you can see what we have become used to
over the season so far. Even though our Opening Day was
delayed several times due to unseasonably warm weather,
once the temps got down to the point that the Mountain
Crews could make snow, the effort was monumental.
They were motivated by the immediate needs of the
24 Hour Children's Charity Fundraiser and once that was
complete, we the customers got the leftover benefit of
acres and acres, miles and miles of beautiful terrain that
has remained in immaculate shape until this very day.
- This is what we have been used to, pure white snow over a pure snow base.
- 1.13.10 Nansen @ Tremblant.jpg (49.54 KiB) Viewed 4510 times
- This is what we have been used to, pure white snow over a pure snow base.
- 1.22.10 Sissy Schuss overlooks the Edge.jpg (140.33 KiB) Viewed 4520 times
Due to the fact that all the 24 Hour Event terrain held its
condition so perfectly, Mountain crews were able to move
onward to other zones on the Mountain and within 2 weeks
they had made huge progress for the Christmas Holiday
period. Once again, all that work held up as there were no thaws,
so Mountain crews could stay focused on adding more and
more snowmaking zones to the expanding areas of coverage.
We think that this has been one of the most phenomenal
recovery stories of Tremblant openings ever. To be able
to hang on to these fabulous surfaces of pure snow for
this long, without interruption, has been a genuine privilege
that we are most grateful for.
From Opening day until now and tomorrow, we have not had
a single significant thaw. That is 48 days of consistent, below
zero weather. (We did have one, 12 hour +1c blip, but it was
not warm enough or long enough to cause any harm.)
Tomorrow is forecasted to bring temps of up to +4C
and between 30 - 40 mm of rain.
- Sad to say that this is a very high probability for tomorrow, and a major reason you should try to get out today.
- Picture 3.png (55.75 KiB) Viewed 4510 times
As of this writing, the Weather Network is forecasting 14 hours
of rain commencing at 4:00A.M., Monday morning, continuing until
6:00 P.M. at which time they also forecast that the precipitation will
change form, from rain, when it is predicted to turn into Snow.
The temperatures forecasted to accompany the rain event are said
to be in the +4C range, +/- 1C, and during the transition to snow,
those temperatures should lower gradually over the next 10 hours
until 4:00 A.M. Tuesday morning, when they are predicted to go
below zero, where they will remain for the foreseeable future.
In other words, we are forecasted to have a severe Warm
30 Hour Thaw with +4C temps and rain.
If that occurs, our conditions will no doubt be affected.
The problem is that our all snow base is fragile because first,
as beautiful as it is, it is just not that thick and secondly,
its porosity could quickly absorb any rain.
There are a number of geographical/weather "Wild Cards”
in this weather scenario however, Including, but not limited to,
the following...
1) The weather forecast may be wrong and the temps stay
cold and we get only snow. Say, for example, an unexpected
shift in the "Jet Stream". This possibility would certainly be a
"Best Case" scenario .... Imagine if 40 mm of rain came as
40CM of Snow!
2) Things could be worse than forecasted... longer time,
more rain, higher temps, or all at once.
3) Anywhere in between for any possible reason.
4) The Orographic factor. Orographic precipitation is caused
by a warm, humid, air-mass being pushed up a large geographic
slope where it runs into a cooler air-mass at the higher elevation
of the Summit. When the 2 air-masses collide at the upper level,
the influence of the more dominant cold air-mass mixing causes
the temp in the humid air-mass to drop and the humidity
condenses in the form of precipitation. if the condensation
occurs below freezing ie: -1C or lower, then typically we might
get Snow.
5) Summit factor. Typically, the Summit of Tremblant gets
temperatures around 4-5 degrees Celsius COLDER than the
base level temps we are getting in our forecasts for this event.
So when the base temps are only forecasted to reach around
a high of 4C, then it is possible that the Summit may remain
Below Zero for the entire time.
6) When you combine factors 4 and 5, we think it is possible
that we will see some sort of a mix, but hopefully biased
toward the Snow.
Time will tell, and of course we're hoping for a blizzard
instead of rain, but regardless, today should remain in our
memories as Tremblant in her finest winter coat so far this
season.
Links:
http://www.tremblant.ca
http://www.tremblant.ca/mountain/winter ... port-e.htm
http://www.tremblant.ca/mountain/trailmap-e.htm
http://www.tremblant.ca/galleries/webcams/index-e.htm
http://translate.google.com/translate_t ... =fr&tl=en#
http://www.theweathernetwork.com/weather/CAQC0360
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