---------- 7:17 A.M. Orig. Post -----------------
89(*) Open Trails on 3 Operational Sides of Tremblant,
Edge Sector, except for lower run out portion, #92, Le Tendre
to Beauchemin, is off-line today.
There is still a fair amount of Snowmaking on the list, however,
many will appreciate that this is shown as "Night-Time", so we
shouldn't be running into it during the day today. That may be
related to the expected day time high temp of zero, which if it
happens, may only be briefly, and on the South Side base level.
Tremblant(360) Geographic 101....
(Caution: We could be wrong on the precise nature of the potential
weather outcomes for tomorrow. You can then say "I Told You So",
however, if we're right, we'll post the "Fresh Tracks" photos and
say the same.)
"If" and "When" are two very "Dependant" terms in Weather Model
Forecasting and for those with an interest in Geophysical phenomenon,
here's where the story becomes divergent.
The "Zero" potential day time high is listed as such on the Official
Tremblant Snow Report, but "The Weather Network" thinks that the
high temp for today will be -5 C.
At 7:30 A.M., we're already at -4 C, when the forecasters thought
we'd be at -7 C, so already we have quite a bit of contradictory info.
Let's take a look at "The Weather Network" 12 hour chart for today
because it has a very revealing "Fine Print" acknowledgement that
in a way, we talk about all the time....
We "Like" the "Fine Print" on this because it says "Squalls", defined
as localized pockets or zones of extreme precipitation activity. These
"Squalls", "If" they occur, do so for a variety of reasons and in a variety
of places, but at Tremblant, on a day like today, with temps near freezing,
and a moisture bearing Southerly Wind, the most likely scenario is potential
"Orographic" Snowfall in pockets or zones of extreme precipitation activity
on the North Side Of Tremblant where the warm moist air is forced up
the Mountain into colder, high elevation air masses, and where the moisture
condenses and falls as SNOW!
Understanding this frequently occurring phenomenon is what often leads
us to say...
Toss 'yer Gear in the vehicle and
Head for Tremblant A.S.A.P. !!!
Potential SNOW ALERT!!!!
The results of "Orographic" "Squall" activity
are often disproportionally HUGE, Blowing,
Drifting, and Accumulating SNOW!!!
Tremblant(360) History 101...
The interesting thing to us as Tremblant History Fans is....
Joe Ryan, Tremblant's founder, Knew This In 1938, and/but he
watched it happen for 10 years before he could gather the resources
to build the road to, and cut the Trails on, Versant Nord, The North Side,
where he absolutely knew there was More Abundant and Better Retained
SNOW!
Here's our "One Picture's Worth A Thousand Words"
Forecast for Tomorrow....
Caveat: We Could Be Wrong, But If We're Right...
Tomorrow could be an exceptional Tremblant day!
Excusez-moi ... Every Day at Tremblant is exceptional,
say, compared to sitting in an office somewhere, so even
if we're wrong about the degree or characteristics of
"tomorrow", it will still be a beautiful day at Tremblant
on everything that's Open!
89(*) Open Trails on the Official, Downloadable,
PDF, Trail and Grooming report,
Courtesy of Tremblant.ca Science, Art, Risk And Probability...
Weather Forecasting is as much an "Art" as it is a "Science"
where people "Risk" a prediction based on "Probability".
The Human experience loves to talk about the weather,
but no matter what "weather" happens, any day on the
Open slopes of Tremblant is a great day!
With as much snow as we have now, correct, incorrect, sunny,
cloudy, you just can't go wrong at Tremblant anyway!
Links:
http://www.tremblant.ca
http://www.tremblant.ca/mountain/winter ... port-e.htm
(*)

http://www.tremblant.ca/mountain/trailmap-e.htm
http://www.tremblant.ca/galleries/webcams/index-e.htm
http://translate.google.com/translate_t ... =fr&tl=en#
http://www.theweathernetwork.com/weather/CAQC0360
Forum Index: http://alturl.com/r4cco


If you would like to look up dates you visited Tremblant, or you
want to research days/weeks/months to visit, you can sample what
they look like historically, month by month, year by year.
GoTo: Archive, Search Reports by Date: Index: http://tinyurl.com/yktelmu
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( If You

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